The temperature's roasting and the Turkish economy is under the spotlight. With President Erdoğan fighting financial markets, the contagion is spreading fast. So which parts are overdone and are there any tempting morsels worth trying? Here are our latest thoughts from Bloomberg TV.
With the European Central Bank spelling out monetary policy for the next eighteen months, they could be a victim of developments elsewhere. Against a backdrop of slowing Eurozone growth and lacklustre inflation, the US seems likely to hike several times and increase Treasury supply by over $1 trillion, potentially tightening global credit conditions significantly and leaving Europe exposed.
Unlike their US or Eurozone counterparts, UK pension funds will readily pay quite a premium for inflation protection. However, that premium is relatively unattractive for multi-asset investors, who we think can find better ways to manage UK and global inflation risks.
Many 2017 outlooks included the sentence "in a strong US dollar environment..." Expectations for the US dollar immediately after the election of President Donald Trump were elevated, while the euro continued to face headwinds. As often happens with forecasts, it couldn't have been more wrong. So what's next?