Short-cuts have their place. If you can avoid complexity and effort, it makes absolute sense to do so. It gives you time to work on other projects, or in my case re-watch The Treble (1999), reliving the good ol’ days. However, when it comes to retirement income, short cuts may be counter-productive and nowhere is this more apparent than with the 4% rule.
This blog comes with a health warning: Higher fee pots die younger. And the UK government is taking notice.
Markets are grinding higher and many investors are looking to call the top of the market cycle. In this light we ask ourselves what causes bubbles and more importantly how do we spot them? Over time I have collected a range of indicators that seek to have some predictive value in spotting bubbles emerging. I modestly call this the Heiligenberg Index.
The low volatility premium has grabbed everyone's attention. Staying flat when markets fell almost 10% this year, the strategy also recorded double-digit returns in 2015. But can it keep its promise of lower risk and superior risk-adjusted returns?