Bull market

Macrobites

I still like tech

For a sector accustomed to getting headlines for its stellar growth and equity returns, the past few weeks have felt a bit different for technology companies. It's time to take stock, think about what we’ve learnt and revisit our bullish macro case for the sector. In short, however, I still like tech.

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Strategy

When swimming naked becomes embarrassing

“You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out” (Warren Buffett, 2001). In bull markets, market risk is often the most important driver of performance. However, we should pay attention to bottom-up investors in both equity and credit markets as they can add value in spotting turning points and identifying areas where investors may find themselves overexposed. 

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Strategy

Top 7 things to know about equities...

Having worked as an equity strategist for well over a decade, I’ve lost count of the number of times I’ve had the debate on ‘what happens to equities when bond yields go up?’. And for most of that time bond yields were in the ice age and falling! To cut down on some future deja-vu, here's my Top 7 list of things to consider about equities when bond yields go up.

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Strategy

I like tech

How could investors not like technology stocks? They’re cool companies, led by charismatic CEOs making irresistible products. And what's more, they're posting amazing growth rates with stocks that just keep going up. I’m sure the bottom-up investment case is much more sophisticated than that, but today I want to lay out the strong macro case for tech stocks.

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Strategy

Worryingly bullish

It’s a new year, but some things haven’t changed. The "fear of missing out" market continues. However, with the rally come worryingly bullish sentiment indicators. One of our favourites is flashing red for the first time since 2010.

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Macrobites

Are we approaching a market peak?

With the equity rally looking set to complete a ninth year – the investment question on everyone’s mind is simple: can it continue?

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Strategy

A FOMO Market

In at least one respect, I can identify with Millennials: FOMO. The ‘fear of missing out’ on things such as Game of Thrones, tickets to FC Cologne vs Arsenal, that perfect powder run on my snowboard holiday or front row seats at my daughters’ nativity plays. But looking at markets at the moment, it’s pretty obvious I’m not the only one with FOMO!

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