A new look at old data suggests that buy-to-let has been the 'only game in town'" in the UK property market for the last 15 years. Tighter regulatory and fiscal policy threatens to disrupt that growth, with potentially significant consequences for the whole residential property market.
Given how often ‘consensus earnings expectations’ are quoted in the financial press and feature in investor discussions there is surprisingly little awareness of what consensus really is. What does it really measure? Who contributes to it? What are its biases?
When the global financial crisis broke, central banks in the West copied from the Japanese playbook and introduced quantitative easing to boost growth and inflation. Now it is Japan's turn to borrow from the West with NIRP (negative interest rate policy) - are they running out of options?