Strategy

 

Strategy

Could unreliable weather be a reliable return source?

True diversification requires looking for independent return streams. You normally cannot rely on the weather, but in investments that lack of reliability is an interesting feature.     

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Strategy

Top 7 things to know about equities...

Having worked as an equity strategist for well over a decade, I’ve lost count of the number of times I’ve had the debate on ‘what happens to equities when bond yields go up?’. And for most of that time bond yields were in the ice age and falling! To cut down on some future deja-vu, here's my Top 7 list of things to consider about equities when bond yields go up.

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Strategy

Five Star Radio

The new political paradigm has thrown up another populist government in Italy, threatening the European project. Meanwhile in the US, could "Operation Twist Again" come into play as investors stress about ever-flatter yield curves?

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Strategy

The Butterfly Effect

I’m passionate about macro investing. As long as the markets are open, I don’t think about much else. Some people call it passion, others call it addiction.

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Strategy

Don't underestimate the power of the people

Remember the EU referendum? The City thought the British public would see the economic benefits of EU membership and not wish to loosen ties with our closest trading partners. Turns out the City was wrong and had misread the mood of the nation. The current discussion around nationalisation has some worrying similarities, so is the City making the same mistake again?

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Strategy

Oil’s well that ends well

Even though tensions in the Middle East have helped pep up prices of late, the shale revolution has brought down medium-term risks to oil prices and dramatically reduced future price expectations.

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Strategy

Land of slope and glory

The US yield curve has consistently flattened since the Federal Reserve began tightening monetary policy several years ago. History strongly suggests that this is an entirely normal market reaction to a rate hiking cycle. If short-term interest rates continue to rise at the pace we expect, we could well be looking at an inverted curve by the middle of 2019.

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