Macro Matters is a global investment blog brought to you by LGIM’s Asset Allocation team. We’re focused on sharing our most compelling thinking to help you become more informed investors.

Latest articles

Economics

A perfect recession indicator?

The US Senior Loan Officer Survey is signalling low recession risk, but how reliable is this indicator?

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Economics

The US economy: What could possibly go wrong?

A US recession in 2020 is our best estimate, but this forecast is far from a slam dunk. Could it arrive later? And what might this mean for equity markets?

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Economics

Unreactive function

Here’s my take on the latest UK GDP numbers, the economic outlook and what that means for the Bank of England’s reaction function on CNBC.

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Economics

Only 240 days to go….

After a tricky month for Prime Minister Theresa May, Parliament is in recess and the clock is ticking away for a Brexit deal. What sort of deal might the UK get, and what should we be looking out for?

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Strategy

Turkey under the grill

The temperature's roasting and the Turkish economy is under the spotlight. With President Erdoğan fighting financial markets, the contagion is spreading fast. So which parts are overdone and are there any tempting morsels worth trying? Here are our latest thoughts from Bloomberg TV. 

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Economics

US thrift – saving grace?

US households have apparently been saving far more than we realised. Could this affect how much longer the economic cycle lasts?

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Portfolio Thinking

Is it time to retire the 4% rule?

Short-cuts have their place. If you can avoid complexity and effort, it makes absolute sense to do so. It gives you time to work on other projects, or in my case re-watch The Treble (1999), reliving the good ol’ days. However, when it comes to retirement income, short cuts may be counter-productive and nowhere is this more apparent than with the 4% rule.

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