Inflation is the rate at which prices for goods and services in a country increases. Alternatively, if the value of a currency decreases this can lead to a country experiencing inflation. In the UK, it is primarily measured using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Retail Price Index (RPI), and is represented as an annual percentage change.
Data on inflation is crucial for Central banks, who have a huge influence on economic policy. Central banks use this information to determine how to adjust a country’s interest rates, increasing them to try and control an increase in goods prices.
Inflation can be anticipated and controlled, or it can come as a shock and have much more severe consequences. When demand for a good speeds up faster than supply can match, prices are pushed up, this is demand-pull Inflation. Another cause of inflation is an increase in production costs, cost-push Inflation. Lastly, there is monetary inflation which occurs when there is too much money being distributed into the economy, its value is then depleted and prices must go up.
As one of the UK’s leading investment managers, LGIM offers knowledge and experience that can bring real benefit to investors looking to understand the economic factors and policies which affect inflation.
Find the latest research on everything from hyperinflation to stagflation with MacroMatters. We aim to provide investors with the insights necessary to stay informed and ahead.
Our Asset Allocation team includes dedicated and accomplished US, European and Global economists, whose focus is to assess the macroeconomic environment in the developed world. This includes researching government policy, emerging political trends, as well as the outlook for economic growth and inflation. Our economists then work with our team of strategists and portfolio managers to translate their views into what this means at a portfolio level.
US consumers’ inflation expectations sitting at a 53-year low resolves one of today’s macro puzzles: why is wage inflation still subdued despite low unemployment? When adjusting for inflation expectations, real wage growth is as rapid as in previous economic booms.
Don’t be fooled by the odd disappointing number; we expect China stimulus to be sustained and effective. The benefits should reverberate globally at a time when we think tariffs and trade wars will give way to cooperation and deals. Find out more in my recent Bloomberg interview…